Predicting models of financial crises

HIGHLIGHTS

• What: Trying to overcome the difficulties, the study aims to use the existing data on monetary policy, Leverage policy, cycles, and financial crisis from 1870 to 2008 to construct a regression model to get an initiatory model for the prediction of the financial crisis. 𝑒 -3.001-0.170𝐹1 -0.219𝑥1 -11.583𝑥2 -4.569𝑥3 Given that the authors propose this model: 𝑃(𝑦𝑖=1|𝑥)=, the authors explore 2 1+𝑒 -3.001-0.170𝐹1 -0.219𝑥1 -11.583𝑥2 -4.569𝑥3 whether there are economic implications for these four variables. The authors aim . . .
  

   

  

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