The effect of lead-time weather forecast uncertainty on outage prediction modeling

HIGHLIGHTS

  • who: Feifei Yang and colleagues from the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USA have published the research: The Effect of Lead-Time Weather Forecast Uncertainty on Outage Prediction Modeling, in the Journal: Forecasting 2021, of /2021/
  • what: The authors construct a numerical experiment to evaluate how parameter uncertainty based on forecasts with one to five days of propagates into outage prediction error. Nateghi et_al used a Bayesian additive regression tree to predict power outages caused from hurricanes and the model showed a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 894 . . .

     

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