Using a dynamic causal model to validate previous predictions and offer a 12-month forecast of the long-term effects of the covid-19 epidemic in the uk

HIGHLIGHTS

  • who: Cam Bowie from the Independent Researcher, Rome, Italy University of Pisa, Italy have published the research work: Using a Dynamic Causal Model to validate previous predictions and offer a 12-month forecast of the long-term effects of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK, in the Journal: (JOURNAL)
  • what: The model is fully described as a supplement to this article.
  • future: In principle the very structure and assumptions of the model could be explored using Bayesian model comparison should this approach to epidemiological modeling be adopted more widely.

SUMMARY . . .

 

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