Causal confirmation measures: from simpson’s paradoxto covid-19

HIGHLIGHTS

SUMMARY

    The conclusion from every group (with small or large stones) is that treatment x2 (i.e., treatment A) is better than treatment x1 (i.e., treatment B); whereas the conclusion according to average success rates, P(y1 |x2 )=0.78 and P(y1 |x1 )=0.83, treatment x1 is better than treatment x2. After replacing P(y1 |x1 ) with P(y1 |do(x1 )) and P(y1 |x2 ) with P(y1 |do(x2 )), the authors derived Cc1=Cc(x2 /x1=> y1 )=0.06, which means that the overall conclusion is that treatment x2 is better . . .

     

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