Estimating and forecasting the burden and spread of colombia’s sars-cov2 first wave

HIGHLIGHTS

• who: Jaime Cascante-Vega from the Universidad de los have published the research work: Estimating and forecasting the burden and spread of Colombiau2019s SARS-CoV2 first wave, in the Journal: Scientific Reports Scientific Reports of October/11,/2020
• what: The authors investigate the probabilistic assessment of the forecast . The authors evaluate a ranked probability score (RPS), which reduces to the mean absolute error if the forecast is u00addeterministic5 and the coverage (CP) probabilities at confidence intervals of 95% and 50%.

SUMMARY

The authors use a meta-population model, to model the . . .

 



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