Gravity models do not explain, and cannot predict, international migration dynamics

HIGHLIGHTS

  • who: Robert M. Beyer from the Potsdam Institute have published the article: Gravity models do not explain, and cannot predict, international migration dynamics, in the Journal: (JOURNAL)
  • what: The authors demonstrate that these caveats are not merely theoretical, but form an important part of the statistical mechanics of gravity models. For the four models, the authors therefore also compared, separately for each country of origin i and destination j, the modelled n o and observed migration flows over time, {Mijt}t and b Mijt. The analysis shows that gravity models generally do not possess this . . .

     

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